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Yet when they were introduced before a roomful of the world's most accomplished blackjack players Wednesday night, they received a heartfelt standing ovation that had to dwarf any plaudits they ever earned during their distinguished careers in business, government or academia. The precise location of the invitation-only gathering is kept secret. Using only desk calculators and their considerable brainpower, the Four Horsemen were the first analysts to determine the optimal strategy for playing blackjack.
They hammered it out in the s, before modern computers were widely available, while serving in the Army at the Aberdeen Proving Ground in Maryland. Thorp, who relied on their research in writing his book, tested their strategy on computers at MIT and found it to be accurate within a couple of hundredths of a percentage point. Thorp's work inspired later blackjack giants such as Wong, Ken Uston and the MIT card-counting teams of the s and others engaged in the noble pursuit of using their mental acuity to extract money from casino card games.
I don't know how many millions of dollars just the people in this room have made as a result of the work that these guys did. It started in when Baldwin, then a private in the Army with a master's degree in mathematics from Columbia University, was playing poker in the Aberdeen barracks. One player selected blackjack in the dealer's choice game, and a discussion of the rules ensued. In Las Vegas, someone said, the dealer has to stand on 17 and hit to That was news to Baldwin, who until then had played only in private games where the dealer could make his own decisions.
After scribbling a few rudimentary formulas, Baldwin realized he had a long-term project on his hands. Cantey, who opted to pursue math after he was encouraged to leave the seminary because of his hustling at pool and cards, also had a master's degree and an interest in gambling.
They enlisted the help of McDermott, who had a master's from Columbia, and Maisel, who later became a professor at Georgetown. For the next year and a half, the Four Horsemen of Aberdeen spent their free time punching numbers into their calculators and figuring out blackjack's basic strategy. Their newly devised strategy was virtually perfect. Cantey, who would go on to become a government researcher, recalled how he appreciated the way their project combined risk, numbers and intellectual rigor.